THESIS
2021
1 online resource (xx, 188 pages) : illustrations (some color)
Abstract
Network optimization with an embedded traffic assignment (TA) model is at the heart of
transportation planning and operations. This problem becomes intractable for large-scale
multimodal networks with high dimensional decision variables due to nonlinearity, high
computation time, and lack of closed-form expressions. The problem intensifies significantly
with modern agent-based microsimulation models that might take days for a single evaluation.
General-purpose algorithms, heuristics, and problem-specific bi-level formulations have been
proposed in the past to solve small problems for demonstration purposes and certain large-scale
problems. Research gap, however, exists in developing efficient solution methods for high-dimensional,
large-scale multimodal problems. In this thesis, we cont...[
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Network optimization with an embedded traffic assignment (TA) model is at the heart of
transportation planning and operations. This problem becomes intractable for large-scale
multimodal networks with high dimensional decision variables due to nonlinearity, high
computation time, and lack of closed-form expressions. The problem intensifies significantly
with modern agent-based microsimulation models that might take days for a single evaluation.
General-purpose algorithms, heuristics, and problem-specific bi-level formulations have been
proposed in the past to solve small problems for demonstration purposes and certain large-scale
problems. Research gap, however, exists in developing efficient solution methods for high-dimensional,
large-scale multimodal problems. In this thesis, we contribute to mitigating this
research gap by addressing three major challenges. Firstly, we address the problem of simulator
inefficiency by developing a metamodel-based optimization framework for computationally
expensive TA models. Multiple gradient-based metamodels and simplified traffic model
embedded metamodels were presented as part of this framework, via which we successfully
calibrated an agent-based, multi-modal traffic microsimulation model of Hong Kong Island
(HKI). We also develop and test a kriging metamodel for dynamic network loading with high
parallelization potentials and improved efficiency. Secondly, we address the problem of high
dimensionality by developing an efficient TA gradient estimation technique called iterative
backpropagation (IB). IB produces gradients for all equilibrium TA outputs using only a single
TA equilibrium evaluation, irrespective of the dimension of the problem, thus making it both
versatile and highly efficient. Thirdly, we address the problem of added complexity due to
agent-based formulations. We propose an agent-based TA model with optional transit mobility
packages and optimize the system for the HKI multimodal network with an extended IB
algorithm. The methodologies proposed in this study have numerous applicability in
transportation planning and operations, especially in enhancing the efficiency and profitability
of the underlying transportation systems.
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