THESIS
2023
1 online resource (xii, 99 pages) : illustrations (some color)
Abstract
I investigate how investors react to volatility shock in stock options market. In sharp contrast
to the underreaction in the aggregate, investors overreact to less persistent idiosyncratic
volatility shock in stock options market. Straddles written on stocks with large
increases in volatility innovations underperform those with large decreases in volatility
innovations by 5.30% per month. Consistent with the overreaction interpretation, higher
idiosyncratic volatility shocks predict higher realized variance risk premiums. Moreover,
the return predictability result is stronger for straddles written on stocks with earnings
announcement during the holding period or dominated by unsophisticated investors. In response to this overreaction induced demand pressure, market makers charge higher...[
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I investigate how investors react to volatility shock in stock options market. In sharp contrast
to the underreaction in the aggregate, investors overreact to less persistent idiosyncratic
volatility shock in stock options market. Straddles written on stocks with large
increases in volatility innovations underperform those with large decreases in volatility
innovations by 5.30% per month. Consistent with the overreaction interpretation, higher
idiosyncratic volatility shocks predict higher realized variance risk premiums. Moreover,
the return predictability result is stronger for straddles written on stocks with earnings
announcement during the holding period or dominated by unsophisticated investors. In response to this overreaction induced demand pressure, market makers charge higher
premiums and bid-ask spreads as compensations for the increased market making risk. I
also rule out the hedging alternative.
Key Words— Volatility shock, Straddle returns, Overreaction, Demand pressure
JEL: G11, G12, G13, G14, G41
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