THESIS
2013
xiv, 103 pages : illustrations ; 30 cm
Abstract
Healthcare constitutes one of the most important components in our lives. Disease
or illness may mean a significant down turn in a personal life. Therefore the critical
position of healthcare cannot be overemphasized. Healthcare is normally defined as the
management or treatment of any health problem through the services that might be
offered by, e.g., medical, nursing, and so on. The effect of the management or treatment
is closely related to the detection of the disease. More specifically, determining when
and/or where the disease presents as early as possible is usually conductive to an effective
control and also to a better result of the management or treatment. Statistical techniques
are such valid methods that can be used for the early detection in the healthcare industry....[
Read more ]
Healthcare constitutes one of the most important components in our lives. Disease
or illness may mean a significant down turn in a personal life. Therefore the critical
position of healthcare cannot be overemphasized. Healthcare is normally defined as the
management or treatment of any health problem through the services that might be
offered by, e.g., medical, nursing, and so on. The effect of the management or treatment
is closely related to the detection of the disease. More specifically, determining when
and/or where the disease presents as early as possible is usually conductive to an effective
control and also to a better result of the management or treatment. Statistical techniques
are such valid methods that can be used for the early detection in the healthcare industry.
According the objectives, disease detection usually can be classified into three categories:
spatial, temporal and spatiotemporal detections. Spatial detection focuses on
detecting specific locations within a large area which are subject to abnormal patterns,
e.g., higher than average risks of the disease. For a given geographical area, temporal
detection is of interest to signal, as early as possible, the presence of the disease. While
spatiotemporal detection, as a more complex objective, investigates both when and where
the abnormal patterns of the disease may appear. In this thesis, we are particularly interested
in the spatial and the temporal disease detections, both of which have attracted
sufficient attention from academics in the past few decades.
In studies of the spatial detection, scan statistics are widely applied to investigate
healthcare related questions. However, to date, there is a scarcity of previous research
on the scan statistics. They assume the independence of each population group which
is divided based on, e.g., gender, age and race. Such an assumption ignores the natural
interaction among multiple population groups and thus those derived statistical models
may be less capable of disease detection. Compared with the spatial detection, the studies
of the temporal detection are more mature. Among proposed techniques, we focus on the
application of statistical process control (SPC) in purpose of deriving more powerful and
applicable control charts for temporal disease detection.
This thesis seeks to make three major contributions to the area of disease detection.
First, a new scan statistic is constructed for the spatial detection based on a multivariate
lognormal model, which is able to describe the interaction among population groups.
Second, a chart with probability control limits is proposed for the online monitoring of
Poisson count data, which is the most common data type in healthcare related problems.
In this study, we release the assumption of the population distributions and are able to
guarantee the theoretical distribution for the in-control average run length in the proposed
control chart. Third, a robust control chart is suggested for monitoring the covariance
matrix of some medical indicators so as to detect any pathological deterioration expressed
by the changes in the variance and/or covariance elements.
The three approaches strengthen the utility of statistical techniques in the healthcare
industry. We have also performed numerical simulations to compare them with
corresponding counterparts. In addition, real-data examples have demonstrated the effectiveness
of these techniques. They can be implemented into practice with reliability.
Post a Comment