THESIS
2014
iv leaves, v-x, 113 pages : color illustrations ; 30 cm
Abstract
My dissertation aims at understanding how product market frictions impact the nature
of corporate earnings. It contains two essays.
In Essay I, I study both theoretically and empirically how nominal price rigidity affects the time-series property of earnings. The friction in this essay is price adjustment
cost that prevents firms from adjusting their prices immediately and completely in response to inflation shocks. In a menu-cost framework, I show that in an environment
of expected production cost rises, firms react more slowly to unexpected cost decreases
than to increases. One central prediction derived from this framework is that symmetrically distributed cost shocks are translated into asymmetrically distributed transitory
earnings, with the implication that earnings are less...[
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My dissertation aims at understanding how product market frictions impact the nature
of corporate earnings. It contains two essays.
In Essay I, I study both theoretically and empirically how nominal price rigidity affects the time-series property of earnings. The friction in this essay is price adjustment
cost that prevents firms from adjusting their prices immediately and completely in response to inflation shocks. In a menu-cost framework, I show that in an environment
of expected production cost rises, firms react more slowly to unexpected cost decreases
than to increases. One central prediction derived from this framework is that symmetrically distributed cost shocks are translated into asymmetrically distributed transitory
earnings, with the implication that earnings are less persistent for firms receiving negative
cost shocks than for those receiving positive cost shocks.
Empirically, I employ a fuzzy regression discontinuity design that captures the spirit
of the menu-cost framework to estimate the effect of downward price rigidity on earnings
persistence. Particularity, I use a unique dataset and a structural approach to measure
the extent to which prices are impacted by cost shocks. I find that firms whose long-run
equilibrium prices are negatively impacted by cost shocks experience a sharp decline in
earnings persistence relative to firms in opposite situations, and this result holds primarily
for industries where costs are expected to rise. Further analysis shows that analysts and
investors process earnings information less efficiently for firms delaying their downward
price adjustments.
In Essay II, I ask whether product market competition impacts firms' information
quality through exacerbating adverse selection. The mechanism through which adverse
selection endogenously arises is that firms' vigorous competition in price suppresses the
revelation of their private information about production costs.
Using a novel approach, I construct a measure of "markup distortion" calculated as the
extent to which output prices are unfavorably impacted by industry-wide inflation shocks
to production costs. I find the adjustment of output price in response to markup distortion
is timely in concentrated industries but sluggish in competitive industries. I document the
following results that are only observed in competitive industries but not in concentrated
industries. First, markup distortion increases information asymmetry between firms and
the public through reducing the usefulness of earnings. Second, markup distortion has a
significant positive impact on both bond spread and borrowers' reliance on loan financing.
Third, the relation between markup distortion and the design and renegotiation of loan
contracts is consistent with theory predictions about debt contracting under information
asymmetries.
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