THESIS
2016
ix, 35 pages : illustrations ; 30 cm
Abstract
We propose a semi-parametric self-exciting point process model for independent
n string observations. The intensity process consists of an unspecified time varying
baseline and a parametric excitation function. The associated martingale
estimating equations are constructed to get a desirable estimator. Under certain
regularity conditions, the consistency and asymptotically normal of the estimator
for the parametric excitation function are established based on counting process
martingale central limit theory. Meanwhile, the Breslow type estimator for the
non-parametric baseline is proved to converge weakly to a mean zero Gaussian
Process. We do simulation to verify the efficiency of the estimating method and
present its applications in the financial data analysis.
Keywords: Cou...[
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We propose a semi-parametric self-exciting point process model for independent
n string observations. The intensity process consists of an unspecified time varying
baseline and a parametric excitation function. The associated martingale
estimating equations are constructed to get a desirable estimator. Under certain
regularity conditions, the consistency and asymptotically normal of the estimator
for the parametric excitation function are established based on counting process
martingale central limit theory. Meanwhile, the Breslow type estimator for the
non-parametric baseline is proved to converge weakly to a mean zero Gaussian
Process. We do simulation to verify the efficiency of the estimating method and
present its applications in the financial data analysis.
Keywords: Counting process martingale; Self-exciting process; Time-varying
background; Asymptotic normal; Consistency.
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