THESIS
2018
Abstract
Chapter 1 studies the interplay of network structure and imperfect information in financial
contagion. Financial crisis may be started by fundamental liquidity shocks but contagion
is triggered by precautionary actions of some market participants who have imperfect
knowledge about the structure of the financial network. These uninformed market participants,
depositors in our model, are uncertainty averse, i.e., they decide their withdrawing
time as if their bank were in the worst network structure and were to be affected by the
shocked bank through the financial linkage. Thus they rush to withdraw their deposits
earlier than they should, which leads to another local bank failure, further endangering
banks in other regions.
Chapter 2 studies the effects of diversification in int...[
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Chapter 1 studies the interplay of network structure and imperfect information in financial
contagion. Financial crisis may be started by fundamental liquidity shocks but contagion
is triggered by precautionary actions of some market participants who have imperfect
knowledge about the structure of the financial network. These uninformed market participants,
depositors in our model, are uncertainty averse, i.e., they decide their withdrawing
time as if their bank were in the worst network structure and were to be affected by the
shocked bank through the financial linkage. Thus they rush to withdraw their deposits
earlier than they should, which leads to another local bank failure, further endangering
banks in other regions.
Chapter 2 studies the effects of diversification in interbank loans on the robustness of
the financial networks. Specifically, I investigate how the degrees and patterns of diversification affect the extent of contagion of a financial system. Two patterns of diversification are numerically analyzed, one in which all banks expand their connection towards
one direction, the other towards two directions symmetrically. We find that diversification enhances robustness largely by preventing contagion from happening in the first
place. However, once contagion is unavoidable under large shocks, diversification has non-monotonic
effect on the robustness, reducing the extent of contagion and then increasing
it. This is true for both diversification patterns. Comparing across patterns, there are
slight differences, but neither absolutely dominates the other.
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